Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.015254 0.018948 0.023744 0.030618 0.040550 0.054975 0.078764
2025-01-26 0.011593 0.015927 0.022474 0.033801 0.054730 0.096704 0.206960
2025-02-02 0.009766 0.014324 0.021952 0.037116 0.071401 0.165132 0.604434
2025-02-09 0.008206 0.012552 0.020334 0.037380 0.082343 0.243787 1.761495
2025-02-16 0.007128 0.011271 0.019103 0.037729 0.094228 0.363381 8.012514
2025-02-23 0.006294 0.010219 0.017975 0.037740 0.105722 0.539387 144.663649
2025-03-02 0.005489 0.009062 0.016322 0.035677 0.108262 0.689714 NaN
2025-03-09 0.004922 0.008261 0.015242 0.034740 0.114995 0.962980 NaN
2025-03-16 0.004559 0.007800 0.014805 0.035499 0.131346 1.661769 NaN
2025-03-23 0.004221 0.007335 0.014254 0.035691 0.146033 2.916699 NaN
2025-03-30 0.003832 0.006715 0.013212 0.033863 0.146626 3.974210 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003523 0.006226 0.012412 0.032608 0.150195 5.999977 NaN
2025-04-13 0.003346 0.006035 0.012415 0.034683 0.187991 33.552607 NaN
2025-04-20 0.003234 0.005974 0.012765 0.038506 0.261232 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.003124 0.005900 0.013065 0.042486 0.368913 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002927 0.005592 0.012623 0.042804 0.432459 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002755 0.005323 0.012236 0.043224 0.512003 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002594 0.005059 0.011812 0.043237 0.594358 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002401 0.004695 0.011015 0.040756 0.587409 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002254 0.004431 0.010489 0.039631 0.627986 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002158 0.004284 0.010314 0.040542 0.777524 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.002059 0.004119 0.010048 0.040772 0.923092 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.001931 0.003867 0.009454 0.038581 0.900942 NaN NaN